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Scenario and Sensitivity Analysis for Financial Forecasting

In volatile African economies where currencies, fuel prices and demand swing sharply, a single point forecast is almost always wrong. This course teaches finance teams to build forecasts that flex, testing how outcomes change under different assumptions and shocks. Participants learn to run scenario and sensitivity analysis, identify the drivers that matter most and give leaders a realistic range rather than false precision.

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What you will be able to do

  • Explain why single point forecasts fail in uncertain conditions.
  • Identify the key drivers and assumptions behind a forecast.
  • Build best case, base case and worst case scenarios.
  • Run sensitivity analysis to see which variables matter most.
  • Stress test forecasts against realistic economic shocks.
  • Present a forecast range and its implications to decision makers.

Course outline

  1. 01The Limits of Single Point Forecasts
  2. 02Identifying Drivers and Assumptions
  3. 03Building Multiple Scenarios
  4. 04Sensitivity Analysis Techniques
  5. 05Stress Testing Against Shocks
  6. 06Interpreting the Results
  7. 07Communicating Uncertainty to Leaders
  8. 08Turning Analysis Into Contingency Plans

Who should attend

Financial analysts, management accountants, planning staff and finance business partners who build budgets, forecasts and business cases.

Dates, venues and fees

DatesVenueDaysFeeCalendarRegister
28 to 30 Sep 2026Pretoria3R13,000Closed
29 Sep to 1 Oct 2026Windhoek3US$1,500Register
30 Sep to 2 Oct 2026Gaborone3US$1,500Register
5 to 7 Oct 2026Maseru3US$1,500Register
6 to 8 Oct 2026Mbabane3US$1,500Register
7 to 9 Oct 2026Lusaka3US$1,500Register
12 to 14 Oct 2026Harare3US$1,500Register
13 to 15 Oct 2026Lilongwe3US$1,500Register
14 to 16 Oct 2026Blantyre3US$1,500Register
19 to 21 Oct 2026Mozambique3US$1,500Register
20 to 22 Oct 2026Nairobi3US$1,500Register
21 to 23 Oct 2026Dar es Salaam3US$1,500Register
26 to 28 Oct 2026Kigali3US$1,500Register
27 to 29 Oct 2026Kampala3US$1,500Register
28 to 30 Oct 2026Accra3US$1,500Register
2 to 4 Nov 2026Lagos3US$1,500Register
3 to 5 Nov 2026Cairo3US$1,500Register
4 to 6 Nov 2026Mauritius3US$1,500Register
9 to 11 Nov 2026Dubai3US$1,500Register
10 to 12 Nov 2026Online3US$900Register
7 to 9 Dec 2026Johannesburg3R13,000Register
8 to 10 Dec 2026Cape Town3R13,000Register
9 to 11 Dec 2026Durban3R13,000Register

Fees are per delegate. South African venues are priced in rand; other locations and online in US dollars. Fees exclude 15% VAT where applicable. Group bookings of three or more delegates from the same organisation qualify for a reduced rate; contact us for a quotation.

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